Why Putin believing he is winning in Ukraine is dangerous for everyone!

Systemic falsification within the Russian General Staff—exemplified by ungrounded claims of advances toward Dobropillia and Zaporizhia—has institutionalized an operational divergence between reported gains and actual front-line geometry. Compelled to align battlefield positions with premature high-command briefings to the Kremlin, Russian commanders repeatedly overcommit attrited units into stalled salients while pushing heavy artillery and strike aviation forward into vulnerable engagement zones. Ukrainian forces exploit this structural vulnerability by drawing overextended formations into prepared fire-sacs, conducting localized counter-offensives against exhausted flanks as demonstrated north of Lyman, and neutralizing exposed high-value fire-support systems. Concurrently, the Kremlin's distorted perception of imminent operational success drives intensified bombardment and glide-bomb campaigns against urban centers, shifting localized tactical fabrications into real-world strategic escalation. The long-term trajectory of the war increasingly hinges on whether Ukraine can impose attrition at a rate that mathematically overwhelms Russia's institutional reporting distortion before cumulative operational pressure exhausts Ukrainian defensive depth.

‍