Russia is hit simultaneously from the north and south

Russia’s war effort increasingly depends on the uninterrupted functioning of its rear-area energy infrastructure, which sustains both civilian stability and military power projection across vast distances. This dependency creates a structural vulnerability, as centralized grids, aging transmission lines, and limited redundancy leave the system exposed to simultaneous shocks. While Russia has focused its defenses on frontline threats, it has struggled to adapt to pressure that targets depth, logistics, and critical support systems. Ukraine’s deep strike strategy is designed to exploit exactly this imbalance, turning Russia’s size from an advantage into a liability. When external stressors compound deliberate military pressure, localized disruptions can rapidly escalate into systemic failures. The result is a growing strategic environment where Russia’s ability to sustain operations is increasingly shaped by factors it cannot fully control or rapidly repair.

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