Somalia’s fragile balance is collapsing as foreign interference intensifies

Africa is emerging as a new arena where fragile states are increasingly exposed to external manipulation rather than direct intervention. Somalia, long trapped in an unresolved security crisis, is now facing a more dangerous phase in which internal weakness intersects with foreign opportunism. What once appeared as a slow, imperfect stabilization is giving way to renewed fragmentation and erosion of state authority. This shift is not accidental but driven by actors who benefit more from disorder than from resolution. Russia has identified Somalia as a low-cost opportunity to generate leverage by amplifying instability instead of attempting control. The result is a gradual transformation of Somalia from a contained crisis into a strategic pressure point shaped by external interference.

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